Wojciech Kotowicz, a senior academic at the University of Warmia and Mazury, emphasizes that modern Russian doctrine views information as a strategic weapon. He stresses that Poland’s information security is interconnected with the stability of its eastern neighbors, warning that disinformation success in Moldova could lead to Poland facing intensified information attacks.
Kotowicz’s research at UWM examined the effects of Russian disinformation in Eastern Europe, particularly in Moldova and Georgia, revealing the onset of what he terms a “new cold war” that operates primarily in the information realm. He notes that Russia can achieve its strategic goals without military force, instead utilizing smartphones and social media to shape public opinion.
He observed campaigns that dramatically changed political views within communities, showcasing how disinformation targeted perceptions of the European Union, fostering skepticism among previously supportive populations. Such strategies were notably present during Moldova’s referendum on European integration, which, despite a pro-European victory, experienced significant disinformation challenges.
Kotowicz predicts that Russian disinformation efforts will grow and become more sophisticated, employing advanced technology to adapt to countermeasures. He highlights social media as a significant battlefield, where algorithms amplify divisive content over reliable information. He also mentions ongoing campaigns tied to Europe’s energy crisis, which propagate narratives that blame sanctions for hurting Europe more than Russia, indicating how such misleading information can reach millions quickly.
